Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-02-14 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 48.5%

SEA: 51.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.28

SEA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

WPG

D. Rittich

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	D. Rittich	30	28	2	93.3%	2.90	0	0.90
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	43	39	4	90.7%	5.65	3	1.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • WPG at home vs SEA: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	1.07
1	SEA	14	0	0.76
2	WPG	16	0	1.12
2	SEA	11	0	0.75
3	WPG	19	1	1.37
3	SEA	13	0	0.86
4	WPG	5	0	0.45
4	SEA	4	0	0.38
5	WPG	3	2	1.65
5	SEA	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2