Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-02-15 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 7 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

ANA: 46.7%

BUF: 53.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.59

BUF: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

BUF

E. Comrie

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	44	37	7	84.1%	4.34	1	-2.66
BUF	E. Comrie	22	19	3	86.4%	2.19	0	-0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • ANA at home vs BUF: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-02-19	BUF 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	5	0	0.23
1	BUF	28	1	2.23
2	ANA	12	0	0.74
2	BUF	13	0	0.91
3	ANA	16	0	1.21
3	BUF	13	0	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 7 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.6 - 3.0