New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-02-15 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 6 New York Rangers

Win Probability

VAN: 49.1%

NYR: 50.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.06

NYR: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

VAN

Arturs Silovs - 3-0-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Arturs Silovs	28	22	6	78.6%	3.01	1	-2.99
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	29	25	4	86.2%	2.19	1	-1.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • VAN at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	VAN
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	VAN
2024-01-08	NYR 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	1	0.74
1	NYR	11	0	1.10
2	VAN	12	0	0.71
2	NYR	15	0	0.84
3	VAN	15	0	0.74
3	NYR	9	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2