Winnipeg Jets at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2023-02-16 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 55.4%
WPG: 44.6%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.98
WPG: 3.41
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
J. Korpisalo
WPG
D. Rittich
| Stat | CBJ | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | J. Korpisalo | 38 | 37 | 1 | 97.4% | 3.99 | 3 | 2.99 |
| WPG | D. Rittich | 24 | 21 | 3 | 87.5% | 3.77 | 4 | 0.77 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs WPG: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | CBJ 1 - 2 WPG | WPG | CBJ |
| 2025-11-18 | WPG 5 - 2 CBJ | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-08 | WPG 1 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-11-01 | CBJ 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-17 | CBJ 1 - 6 WPG | WPG | WPG |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 2 | 0 | 0.16 |
| 1 | WPG | 17 | 0 | 0.98 |
| 2 | CBJ | 18 | 3 | 1.93 |
| 2 | WPG | 16 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 3 | CBJ | 15 | 1 | 1.69 |
| 3 | WPG | 26 | 3 | 2.20 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4
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