New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-02-16 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 49.0%

NJD: 51.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.06

NJD: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	36	34	2	94.4%	3.44	3	1.44
NJD	M. Blackwood	35	31	4	88.6%	3.57	4	-0.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	NJD
2024-03-07	NJD 4 - 1 STL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	18	1	1.07
1	NJD	21	3	1.76
2	STL	18	1	1.37
2	NJD	17	0	1.26
3	STL	11	2	1.12
3	NJD	9	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2