Philadelphia Flyers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-02-16 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 46.5%

PHI: 53.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.26

PHI: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	19	17	2	89.5%	1.73	0	-0.27
PHI	C. Hart	30	24	6	80.0%	2.88	3	-3.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs PHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-28	SEA 4 - 1 PHI	SEA	PHI
2025-10-20	PHI 5 - 2 SEA	PHI	PHI
2025-03-08	PHI 1 - 4 SEA	SEA	PHI
2024-10-17	SEA 6 - 4 PHI	SEA	SEA
2024-02-10	PHI 3 - 2 SEA	PHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	0	0.92
1	PHI	4	0	0.15
2	SEA	12	1	0.87
2	PHI	15	0	0.83
3	SEA	16	2	1.09
3	PHI	13	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 6 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2