Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-02-17 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

ANA: 37.5%

LAK: 62.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.70

LAK: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	41	35	6	85.4%	5.38	1	-0.62
LAK	Pheonix Copley	27	24	3	88.9%	2.45	2	-0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • ANA at home vs LAK: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	ANA 2 - 1 LAK	ANA	ANA
2026-01-16	LAK 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	LAK
2025-12-27	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK
2025-11-28	ANA 5 - 4 LAK	ANA	ANA
2025-04-10	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	8	1	0.47
1	LAK	21	0	1.36
2	ANA	22	0	0.95
2	LAK	26	0	2.07
3	ANA	14	1	1.03
3	LAK	15	1	1.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.7 - 2.7