Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-02-18 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

STL: 42.6%

COL: 57.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.10

COL: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

COL

Justus Annunen - 8-4-1 | 0.928 SV% | 2.25 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	33	29	4	87.9%	3.69	1	-0.31
COL	Justus Annunen	20	19	1	95.0%	1.49	0	0.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • STL at home vs COL: 2-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	9	0	0.48
1	COL	22	1	1.60
2	STL	13	0	0.63
2	COL	14	0	1.26
3	STL	8	0	0.38
3	COL	10	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3