Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-02-18 • Carter-Finley Stadium

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CAR: 59.2%

WSH: 40.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.90

WSH: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 54%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	25	24	1	96.0%	1.18	0	0.18
WSH	D. Kuemper	35	31	4	88.6%	3.75	2	-0.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CAR at home vs WSH: 7-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	1	1.20
1	WSH	11	0	0.57
2	CAR	24	1	1.89
2	WSH	10	0	0.24
3	CAR	17	0	0.66
3	WSH	12	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1