Arizona Coyotes at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-02-18 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 5 Arizona Coyotes (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 47.6%

ARI: 52.4%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.47

ARI: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

LAK

J. Quick

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	33	28	5	84.8%	4.36	4	-0.64
ARI	K. Vejmelka	39	32	7	82.1%	6.12	3	-0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • LAK at home vs ARI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-11-20	ARI 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-27	ARI 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-24	LAK 6 - 3 ARI	LAK	LAK
2023-02-18	LAK 6 - 5 ARI	LAK	ARI
2022-12-23	ARI 2 - 1 LAK	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	0	1.43
1	ARI	8	0	0.55
2	LAK	10	0	0.77
2	ARI	20	4	2.48
3	LAK	15	1	0.96
3	ARI	11	0	1.04
4	LAK	11	0	1.40
4	ARI	1	0	0.17
5	LAK	2	2	1.56
5	ARI	2	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2