Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2023-02-18 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 55.4%
DET: 44.6%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.23
DET: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
DET
Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA
| Stat | SEA | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | 0.892 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | 3.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 23 | 21 | 2 | 91.3% | 3.10 | 2 | 1.10 |
| DET | Ville Husso | 26 | 22 | 4 | 84.6% | 3.67 | 2 | -0.33 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SEA at home vs DET: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | SEA 3 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-18 | DET 4 - 2 SEA | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-04 | SEA 4 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-12 | DET 6 - 2 SEA | DET | DET |
| 2024-02-19 | SEA 3 - 4 DET | DET | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 18 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 1 | DET | 15 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 2 | SEA | 17 | 0 | 1.34 |
| 2 | DET | 9 | 1 | 0.56 |
| 3 | SEA | 10 | 2 | 1.57 |
| 3 | DET | 20 | 1 | 1.40 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.