Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-02-19 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 48.1%

WPG: 51.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.52

WPG: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 48%

NJD

M. Blackwood

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	25	23	2	92.0%	2.71	2	0.71
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	29	25	4	86.2%	3.24	3	-0.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NJD at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	NJD
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.49
1	WPG	7	1	0.74
2	NJD	14	1	0.98
2	WPG	14	0	0.93
3	NJD	10	2	1.77
3	WPG	18	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0