Anaheim Ducks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-02-20 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

Win Probability

FLA: 70.2%

ANA: 29.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.56

ANA: 1.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	32	29	3	90.6%	3.17	2	0.17
ANA	John Gibson	55	51	4	92.7%	4.72	3	0.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs ANA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-04	ANA 7 - 3 FLA	ANA	FLA
2025-10-28	FLA 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	FLA
2025-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-01-18	FLA 3 - 0 ANA	FLA	FLA
2024-01-15	FLA 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	20	0	0.76
1	ANA	16	0	0.99
2	FLA	20	1	1.34
2	ANA	11	2	1.37
3	FLA	28	2	2.29
3	ANA	7	0	0.77
4	FLA	2	0	0.33
4	ANA	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.0