St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-02-21 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

CAR: 66.9%

STL: 33.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.59

STL: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	36	35	1	97.2%	3.20	2	2.20
STL	Jordan Binnington	36	32	4	88.9%	4.31	2	0.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CAR at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	CAR 1 - 3 STL	STL	CAR
2026-01-13	STL 3 - 0 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-11-17	CAR 4 - 1 STL	CAR	CAR
2024-10-19	STL 4 - 3 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-04-12	STL 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	1.02
1	STL	16	0	0.82
2	CAR	27	1	2.40
2	STL	13	0	0.78
3	CAR	9	1	0.89
3	STL	18	2	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.6 - 2.7