Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-02-23 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 48.5%

LAK: 51.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.57

LAK: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

NJD

V. Vanecek

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	22	19	3	86.4%	1.95	0	-1.05
LAK	Pheonix Copley	32	28	4	87.5%	3.93	4	-0.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NJD 6 - 4 LAK	NJD	NJD
2025-11-01	LAK 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	LAK
2025-01-01	LAK 3 - 0 NJD	LAK	LAK
2024-12-12	NJD 3 - 1 LAK	NJD	NJD
2024-03-03	LAK 5 - 1 NJD	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	17	1	1.09
1	LAK	10	0	0.83
2	NJD	15	1	1.48
2	LAK	12	0	0.68
3	NJD	10	1	0.69
3	LAK	10	0	0.44
4	NJD	5	1	0.67
4	LAK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.6 - 3.2