New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-02-23 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 1 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 43.1%

NYR: 56.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.64

NYR: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

NYR

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	31	30	1	96.8%	2.62	1	1.62
NYR	J. Halak	23	19	4	82.6%	2.88	2	-1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NYR: 1-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	1	0.90
1	NYR	11	0	0.66
2	DET	14	1	1.26
2	NYR	18	1	1.31
3	DET	11	0	0.72
3	NYR	16	0	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.4