Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-02-23 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

Win Probability

STL: 47.1%

VAN: 52.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.18

VAN: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

VAN

Arturs Silovs - 3-0-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	41	38	3	92.7%	4.18	2	1.18
VAN	Arturs Silovs	22	20	2	90.9%	3.11	2	1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • STL at home vs VAN: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	7	0	0.42
1	VAN	18	0	1.04
2	STL	10	0	0.60
2	VAN	15	0	1.06
3	STL	7	1	1.11
3	VAN	19	2	1.92
4	STL	5	1	0.98
4	VAN	3	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4