Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-02-24 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 70.1%

BUF: 29.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.27

BUF: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 54%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	30	3	90.9%	3.31	2	0.31
BUF	C. Anderson	50	49	1	98.0%	4.98	2	3.98

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • FLA at home vs BUF: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	FLA
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	14	0	0.90
1	BUF	17	0	1.04
2	FLA	21	0	1.62
2	BUF	13	0	0.92
3	FLA	37	2	2.46
3	BUF	14	2	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1