Boston Bruins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-02-25 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 52.5%

BOS: 47.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.14

BOS: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

VAN

Arturs Silovs - 3-0-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.47 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Arturs Silovs	35	32	3	91.4%	3.22	1	0.22
BOS	L. Ullmark	27	26	1	96.3%	2.75	0	1.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	VAN 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-12-20	BOS 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-12-14	VAN 1 - 5 BOS	BOS	VAN
2024-11-26	BOS 0 - 2 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-02-24	VAN 3 - 2 BOS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	0	0.82
1	BOS	23	0	1.33
2	VAN	15	0	1.16
2	BOS	13	0	0.85
3	VAN	14	0	0.77
3	BOS	9	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3