Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2023-02-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 45.9%

LAK: 54.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.23

LAK: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	28	26	2	92.9%	3.03	0	1.03
LAK	J. Quick	21	16	5	76.2%	2.72	0	-2.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYR at home vs LAK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	NYR 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-01-20	LAK 4 - 3 NYR	LAK	LAK
2025-03-25	LAK 3 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK
2024-12-14	NYR 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-01-20	LAK 2 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYR	8	0.52
1	LAK	16	1.46
2	NYR	16	0.93
2	LAK	13	0.51
3	NYR	14	1.27
3	LAK	18	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4