Nashville Predators at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-02-26 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 6 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

ARI: 49.7%

NSH: 50.3%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.03

NSH: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 48%

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	C. Ingram	34	28	6	82.4%	2.90	1	-3.10
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	25	2	92.6%	2.48	0	0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • ARI at home vs NSH: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-28	ARI 8 - 4 NSH	ARI	NSH
2024-02-10	NSH 5 - 4 ARI	NSH	NSH
2024-01-20	ARI 3 - 2 NSH	ARI	NSH
2023-11-11	NSH 5 - 7 ARI	ARI	NSH
2023-03-09	ARI 4 - 1 NSH	ARI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	15	0	0.99
1	NSH	12	0	0.61
2	ARI	14	0	0.90
2	NSH	13	0	1.06
3	ARI	13	0	0.59
3	NSH	15	1	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 6 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0