Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-02-28 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 6 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 52.7%

LAK: 47.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.09

LAK: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	38	32	6	84.2%	4.18	2	-1.82
LAK	Pheonix Copley	34	29	5	85.3%	3.42	2	-1.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • WPG at home vs LAK: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	WPG 5 - 1 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-11-04	LAK 3 - 0 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-10-11	WPG 3 - 2 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-04-01	LAK 4 - 1 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-01-10	WPG 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	2	1.55
1	LAK	16	1	0.99
2	WPG	12	0	0.81
2	LAK	19	0	1.25
3	WPG	12	0	0.71
3	LAK	11	0	0.69
4	WPG	3	0	0.17
4	LAK	4	0	0.50
5	WPG	3	0	0.18
5	LAK	2	1	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 6 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2