Nashville Predators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-03-02 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 58.2%

NSH: 41.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.21

NSH: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 54%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NSH

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	23	21	2	91.3%	3.23	4	1.23
NSH	K. Lankinen	31	30	1	96.8%	3.84	2	2.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • FLA at home vs NSH: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-04	FLA 1 - 2 NSH	NSH	FLA
2025-11-24	NSH 3 - 8 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-02-25	NSH 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-07	FLA 6 - 2 NSH	FLA	FLA
2024-03-21	FLA 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	14	0	0.80
1	NSH	12	1	1.21
2	FLA	26	1	2.19
2	NSH	12	1	0.83
3	FLA	14	1	0.86
3	NSH	7	2	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0