Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-03-02 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken (OT)

Win Probability

DET: 47.1%

SEA: 52.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.93

SEA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	37	32	5	86.5%	3.00	1	-2.00
SEA	M. Jones	29	25	4	86.2%	1.83	0	-2.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DET at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-18	DET 4 - 2 SEA	DET	DET
2025-02-04	SEA 4 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-12	DET 6 - 2 SEA	DET	DET
2024-02-19	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.40
1	SEA	19	0	0.93
2	DET	13	0	0.92
2	SEA	13	0	0.62
3	DET	9	0	0.49
3	SEA	15	1	1.26
4	DET	1	0	0.03
4	SEA	3	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1