Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-03-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

VAN: 48.8%

MIN: 51.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.04

MIN: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	36	34	2	94.4%	3.99	3	1.99
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	22	21	1	95.5%	2.61	0	1.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • VAN at home vs MIN: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	1.08
1	MIN	16	0	1.04
2	VAN	12	0	1.01
2	MIN	18	1	1.38
3	VAN	9	0	0.52
3	MIN	17	2	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4