Montreal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-03-02 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

LAK: 64.2%

MTL: 35.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.17

MTL: 2.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	21	19	2	90.5%	2.57	0	0.57
MTL	J. Allen	33	30	3	90.9%	3.45	0	0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • LAK at home vs MTL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	LAK 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	LAK
2025-11-11	MTL 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-02-05	LAK 6 - 3 MTL	LAK	LAK
2024-10-17	MTL 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-12-07	MTL 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	LAK	16	0.97
1	MTL	10	1.14
2	LAK	22	1.39
2	MTL	9	0.77
3	LAK	12	1.09
3	MTL	11	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 2.3