St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-03-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

LAK: 61.7%

STL: 38.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 4.37

STL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

J. Korpisalo

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Korpisalo	26	24	2	92.3%	2.75	3	0.75
STL	Jordan Binnington	38	34	4	89.5%	4.81	2	0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • LAK at home vs STL: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	0	1.13
1	STL	14	3	1.31
2	LAK	18	0	1.28
2	STL	8	0	0.63
3	LAK	18	2	2.40
3	STL	10	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.4 - 2.9