Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2023-03-05 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken (OT)

Win Probability

COL: 49.2%

SEA: 50.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.07

SEA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	35	32	3	91.4%	2.65	0	-0.35
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	21	2	91.3%	2.63	0	0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • COL at home vs SEA: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	COL	10	0.71
1	SEA	11	0.58
2	COL	14	1.17
2	SEA	14	0.90
3	COL	12	0.76
3	SEA	21	1.06
4	COL	0	0.00
4	SEA	1	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0