San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2023-03-07 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 0 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 62.8%
SJS: 37.2%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.45
SJS: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA
SJS
K. Kahkonen
| Stat | COL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.02 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | Alexandar Georgiev | 13 | 13 | 0 | 100.0% | 0.99 | 0 | 0.99 |
| SJS | K. Kahkonen | 43 | 37 | 6 | 86.0% | 3.72 | 1 | -2.28 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • COL at home vs SJS: 8-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | COL 4 - 2 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-26 | COL 6 - 0 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-01 | SJS 3 - 2 COL | SJS | COL |
| 2025-03-06 | COL 7 - 3 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-19 | SJS 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 26 | 0 | 1.43 |
| 1 | SJS | 2 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 2 | COL | 17 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 2 | SJS | 9 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 3 | COL | 11 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 3 | SJS | 8 | 0 | 0.57 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 0 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 3.0
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