Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-03-07 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

SEA: 63.6%

ANA: 36.4%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.21

ANA: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	22	20	2	90.9%	1.94	1	-0.06
ANA	John Gibson	31	26	5	83.9%	2.73	2	-2.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • SEA at home vs ANA: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	15	0	0.77
1	ANA	10	1	0.83
2	SEA	19	1	1.37
2	ANA	10	0	0.48
3	SEA	8	1	0.59
3	ANA	10	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7