Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-03-09 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CAR: 63.6%

PHI: 36.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.77

PHI: 2.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

PHI

F. Sandstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	19	19	0	100.0%	1.68	2	1.68
PHI	F. Sandstrom	29	28	1	96.6%	3.30	5	2.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • CAR at home vs PHI: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	9	1	1.02
1	PHI	8	0	0.45
2	CAR	19	1	0.96
2	PHI	8	0	0.29
3	CAR	18	3	1.31
3	PHI	10	2	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.3