Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2023-03-09 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 50.5%

LAK: 49.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.32

LAK: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

LAK

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	31	26	5	83.9%	3.75	6	-1.25
LAK	J. Korpisalo	30	28	2	93.3%	2.70	1	0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • COL at home vs LAK: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	0	0.71
1	LAK	9	1	0.86
2	COL	14	1	1.15
2	LAK	16	2	1.44
3	COL	15	0	0.84
3	LAK	11	3	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0