Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-03-10 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

Win Probability

FLA: 67.2%

CHI: 32.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.78

CHI: 2.08

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 54%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	24	21	3	87.5%	2.25	0	-0.75
CHI	Petr Mrazek	43	39	4	90.7%	4.00	1	-0.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • FLA at home vs CHI: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	CHI 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-07	FLA 3 - 2 CHI	FLA	FLA
2025-02-01	FLA 5 - 1 CHI	FLA	FLA
2024-11-21	CHI 3 - 1 FLA	CHI	FLA
2023-11-12	FLA 4 - 3 CHI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	0	0.69
1	CHI	13	0	0.48
2	FLA	19	1	1.49
2	CHI	14	0	0.66
3	FLA	17	0	1.50
3	CHI	11	0	0.81
4	FLA	4	0	0.32
4	CHI	2	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.1