St. Louis Blues at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-03-11 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.3%

STL: 50.7%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.13

STL: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

CBJ

M. Hutchinson

STL

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	M. Hutchinson	24	19	5	79.2%	3.28	3	-1.72
STL	T. Greiss	39	37	2	94.9%	4.50	4	2.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs STL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	STL 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-11-01	CBJ 3 - 2 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-01-11	STL 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-01-04	CBJ 6 - 4 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-30	STL 0 - 1 CBJ	CBJ	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	21	1	1.32
1	STL	10	1	1.12
2	CBJ	8	0	0.63
2	STL	13	0	0.64
3	CBJ	29	3	2.55
3	STL	11	2	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8