Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-03-11 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Dallas Stars (OT)

Win Probability

SEA: 48.0%

DAL: 52.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.86

DAL: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	21	4	84.0%	2.75	1	-1.25
DAL	Jake Oettinger	31	28	3	90.3%	2.47	1	-0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • SEA at home vs DAL: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	0	0.65
1	DAL	15	0	0.70
2	SEA	11	0	0.77
2	DAL	9	0	0.79
3	SEA	12	1	0.87
3	DAL	11	1	1.09
4	SEA	3	0	0.18
4	DAL	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4