Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-03-11 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Nashville Predators (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 59.4%

NSH: 40.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.95

NSH: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

NSH

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	32	30	2	93.8%	3.54	2	1.54
NSH	K. Lankinen	30	29	1	96.7%	3.30	3	2.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • LAK at home vs NSH: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	LAK 3 - 2 NSH	LAK	LAK
2026-04-02	LAK 4 - 5 NSH	NSH	LAK
2025-10-25	NSH 5 - 4 LAK	NSH	NSH
2025-03-15	LAK 1 - 0 NSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-21	NSH 3 - 2 LAK	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	15	0	0.89
1	NSH	18	0	0.80
2	LAK	12	2	1.17
2	NSH	11	0	0.46
3	LAK	17	1	0.87
3	NSH	13	1	0.85
4	LAK	4	0	0.18
4	NSH	6	0	0.43
5	LAK	3	0	0.20
5	NSH	2	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9