Minnesota Wild at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2023-03-12 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 66.6%

MIN: 33.4%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.24

MIN: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	34	30	4	88.2%	2.40	0	-1.60
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	23	18	5	78.3%	2.83	1	-2.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ARI at home vs MIN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-12	MIN 4 - 1 ARI	MIN	MIN
2024-03-07	ARI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-02-14	ARI 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-01-13	MIN 0 - 6 ARI	ARI	MIN
2023-03-12	ARI 5 - 4 MIN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	11	0	0.76
1	MIN	16	0	0.82
2	ARI	9	0	0.58
2	MIN	15	0	0.90
3	ARI	8	0	0.44
3	MIN	8	0	0.43
4	ARI	4	1	1.04
4	MIN	2	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9