Detroit Red Wings at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-03-14 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

NSH: 52.7%

DET: 47.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.15

DET: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	29	28	1	96.6%	3.34	1	2.34
DET	Ville Husso	16	14	2	87.5%	1.69	1	-0.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs DET: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	NSH 2 - 4 DET	DET	NSH
2025-11-26	DET 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	DET
2024-10-19	NSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	NSH
2024-10-12	DET 3 - 0 NSH	DET	NSH
2024-03-23	NSH 1 - 0 DET	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	8	0	0.52
1	DET	18	0	0.84
2	NSH	10	1	0.95
2	DET	13	0	1.03
3	NSH	4	0	0.23
3	DET	15	1	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0