Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-03-15 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 8 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 55.2%

MIN: 44.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.14

MIN: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	35	27	8	77.1%	2.79	1	-5.21
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	36	31	5	86.1%	2.77	0	-2.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • STL at home vs MIN: 7-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	0	1.14
1	MIN	13	1	1.10
2	STL	13	0	0.99
2	MIN	21	0	1.30
3	STL	18	0	0.64
3	MIN	10	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 8 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9