Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-03-16 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 0 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 54.0%

BOS: 46.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.23

BOS: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	21	3	87.5%	3.63	3	0.63
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	36	36	0	100.0%	2.99	0	2.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • WPG at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	BOS 6 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG
2025-12-11	WPG 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	WPG
2025-01-30	BOS 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-10	WPG 8 - 1 BOS	WPG	WPG
2024-01-22	BOS 4 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	1.18
1	BOS	12	1	1.09
2	WPG	17	0	1.07
2	BOS	12	0	0.74
3	WPG	15	0	0.75
3	BOS	15	2	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 0 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9