Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2023-03-16 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Seattle Kraken (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 54.9%

SEA: 45.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.96

SEA: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

SJS

J. Reimer

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	32	30	2	93.8%	3.25	0	1.25
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	32	31	1	96.9%	2.68	1	1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs SEA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	0	0.70
1	SEA	15	0	0.99
2	SJS	11	0	0.70
2	SEA	22	0	1.28
3	SJS	18	1	1.27
3	SEA	15	0	0.80
4	SJS	0	0	0.00
4	SEA	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9