Columbus Blue Jackets at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2023-03-17 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 7 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 58.8%
CBJ: 41.2%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.17
CBJ: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA
CBJ
M. Hutchinson
| Stat | ANA | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | Lukas Dostal | 42 | 38 | 4 | 90.5% | 3.55 | 1 | -0.45 |
| CBJ | M. Hutchinson | 38 | 31 | 7 | 81.6% | 4.65 | 3 | -2.35 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs CBJ: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | ANA 4 - 3 CBJ | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-16 | CBJ 4 - 3 ANA | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-12-14 | CBJ 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | CBJ |
| 2024-11-10 | ANA 4 - 2 CBJ | ANA | CBJ |
| 2024-02-21 | ANA 4 - 7 CBJ | CBJ | ANA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 18 | 0 | 1.16 |
| 1 | CBJ | 20 | 1 | 1.57 |
| 2 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 2 | CBJ | 21 | 0 | 1.02 |
| 3 | ANA | 22 | 3 | 2.66 |
| 3 | CBJ | 17 | 0 | 0.97 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 7 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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