Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-03-18 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 59.3%

VAN: 40.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.22

VAN: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

J. Korpisalo

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Korpisalo	19	15	4	78.9%	4.01	2	0.01
VAN	Thatcher Demko	41	39	2	95.1%	3.26	1	1.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • LAK at home vs VAN: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	VAN 4 - 3 LAK	VAN	VAN
2026-04-09	LAK 4 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2026-03-26	VAN 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-11-29	LAK 2 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2025-02-26	LAK 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	16	0	0.61
1	VAN	8	0	0.38
2	LAK	19	0	1.00
2	VAN	6	0	0.48
3	LAK	21	1	1.51
3	VAN	12	0	0.75
4	LAK	0	0	0.00
4	VAN	4	0	0.57
5	LAK	2	0	0.14
5	VAN	2	2	1.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7