Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-03-19 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

STL: 59.4%

WPG: 40.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.32

WPG: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	34	34	0	100.0%	2.71	0	2.71
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	17	14	3	82.4%	2.44	0	-0.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • STL at home vs WPG: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	9	1.09
1	WPG	17	0.84
2	STL	8	0.64
2	WPG	13	0.79
3	STL	9	0.71
3	WPG	20	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0