Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-03-20 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

DET: 49.3%

FLA: 50.7%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.85

FLA: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	25	20	5	80.0%	2.62	1	-2.38
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	22	20	2	90.9%	3.03	3	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	9	1	1.34
1	FLA	16	0	0.82
2	DET	15	2	1.10
2	FLA	14	1	0.93
3	DET	12	0	0.59
3	FLA	12	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2