Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2023-03-20 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

COL: 69.2%

CHI: 30.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.87

CHI: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

CHI

A. Stalock

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	27	27	0	100.0%	2.04	1	2.04
CHI	A. Stalock	32	27	5	84.4%	3.52	0	-1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • COL at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	16	0	1.16
1	CHI	13	1	1.17
2	COL	11	0	1.07
2	CHI	16	0	0.65
3	COL	17	0	1.29
3	CHI	9	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7