San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-03-23 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 7 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

VAN: 52.8%

SJS: 47.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.25

SJS: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	19	17	2	89.5%	2.02	0	0.02
SJS	J. Reimer	21	14	7	66.7%	2.22	1	-4.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs SJS: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.87
1	SJS	15	0	0.85
2	VAN	14	1	0.95
2	SJS	8	0	0.49
3	VAN	6	0	0.40
3	SJS	9	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 7 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1