New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2023-03-24 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 New York Islanders (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 45.7%

NYI: 54.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.07

NYI: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 54%

CBJ

M. Hutchinson

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	M. Hutchinson	38	34	4	89.5%	3.49	0	-0.51
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	27	22	5	81.5%	4.03	3	-0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	1.23
1	NYI	10	0	0.89
2	CBJ	13	3	1.91
2	NYI	23	0	1.08
3	CBJ	16	0	0.78
3	NYI	26	0	1.53
4	CBJ	1	0	0.10
4	NYI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4