Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-03-25 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

MIN: 58.5%

CHI: 41.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.68

CHI: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 54%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

CHI

A. Stalock

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	23	22	1	95.7%	1.87	0	0.87
CHI	A. Stalock	25	22	3	88.0%	2.13	2	-0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • MIN at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.33
1	CHI	11	0	0.56
2	MIN	14	0	0.81
2	CHI	15	0	0.46
3	MIN	12	2	1.00
3	CHI	13	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.7 - 3.1