St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-03-26 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 7 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

LAK: 72.9%

STL: 27.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 4.52

STL: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	22	16	6	72.7%	2.21	2	-3.79
STL	Joel Hofer	31	24	7	77.4%	3.78	1	-3.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • LAK at home vs STL: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2026-01-24	STL 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-21	STL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	STL
2025-03-08	LAK 2 - 1 STL	LAK	LAK
2025-03-05	LAK 2 - 3 STL	STL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	21	0	1.44
1	STL	14	0	0.79
2	LAK	17	1	1.58
2	STL	9	1	0.62
3	LAK	15	0	0.76
3	STL	7	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 7 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.5 - 2.7